Com
Commercial Real Estate
Topic
N/A
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 1
Pending: 37
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Commercial real estate offers a rental yield of 7-8% with annual escalations of 5-10%, creating a flywheel effect.
"the re yield on that is 7 8%. Uh and there's a flywheel that gets created. ... the 8% has a 5 to 10%..."
Sep 20, 2025
Incorrect
A substantial $957 billion in commercial real estate debt is maturing this year, and refinancing at current interest rates will be challenging for borrowers.
"a massive $957 billion wall of debt scheduled to mature this year refinancing these loans at today's..."
Jun 29, 2025
Pending
Commercial real estate is facing significant distress, with delinquency rates of 6.42% (overall), 7.8%-8% (office loans), and a 25-year high of 16.19% for loans transferred to special servicing.
"a new analysis of commercial mortgagebacked securities debt shows 6.42% of borrowers were 30 or more..."
Jun 29, 2025
Pending
Many corporations took out loans at low interest rates in 2020-2021, and these debts are now due for readjustment in 2024 and 2025, potentially increasing costs.
"every corporation borrowed as much money as as many dollars as possible at the lowest interest rates..."
Aug 1, 2024
Pending
Corporations and commercial landlords are advocating for interest rate cuts due to their reliance on shorter-term, readjusting loans rather than 30-year fixed mortgages.
"nearly every corporation and nearly every corporate landlord in America has been pressuring the Fede..."
Aug 1, 2024
Pending
There has been a consistent increase in commercial real estate foreclosures over the past year.
"over the last 12 months we've been seeing the steady rise in commercial real estate foreclosures"
Apr 29, 2024
Pending
Commercial real estate foreclosures have been steadily rising over the past 12 months.
"over the last 12 months we've been seeing this steady rise in commercial real estate foreclosures"
Apr 27, 2024
Pending
Office building values have been significantly impacted due to the widespread adoption of remote work.
"Office Buildings got clobbered because so many people are working from home"
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
The retail sector is facing severe challenges due to the rise of e-commerce.
"retail sector you had a real nightmare because so many people started shopping online over the last ..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
Banks are projected to incur substantial losses from commercial loans due to the severe downturn in the commercial real estate market.
"the banks are going to lose a fortune on those commercial loans because commercial commercial real e..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
Office building values have declined sharply as a result of increased remote work.
"Office Buildings got clobbered because so many people are working from home"
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
Banks are expected to suffer significant losses on commercial loans due to the severe decline in commercial real estate.
"the banks are going to lose a fortune on those commercial loans because commercial commercial real e..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
The retail sector is experiencing severe difficulties due to the growth of e-commerce.
"retail sector you had a real nightmare because so many people started shopping online over the last ..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
Commercial real estate values have significantly decreased due to rising interest rates, similar to bond valuation.
"commercial real "estate has gotten killed "from a number of factors I mean one is rising "interest r..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
Commercial real estate prices have crashed, leaving banks with substantial amounts of non-performing loans.
"prices have collapsed and the banks "are holding all the bad paper"
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
The commercial real estate market, particularly office spaces, will face significant loan readjustments in 2024 and 2025. Landlords with high vacancy rates and rising interest rates will experience financial difficulties.
"2024 is the first year of this kind of tidal wave of loans readjusting in the office Market we'll se..."
Mar 4, 2024
Pending
A combination of rising interest rates and a recession will lead to real estate problems, with certain banks being more heavily impacted than others.
"if rates go up and we have a recession there will be real estate problems and some banks will have a..."
Mar 4, 2024
Pending
Banks are expected to scale back lending and make it harder to get loans in the short term due to the commercial real estate market.
"short term we'll probably continue to see Banks scaling back and making it more difficult to get a l..."
Feb 7, 2024
Pending
Morgan Stanley predicts a 40% decline in the commercial real estate market.
"Morgan Stanley estimating that the entire Market could decline 40%"
Feb 7, 2024
Pending
Many commercial landlords with office properties, who refinanced debt during the low-interest rate period of the 2020 pandemic, are now facing challenges with half-vacant properties.
"you have a lot of commercial landlords people sitting on office properties that refinance their debt..."
Jan 12, 2024
Pending
Commercial real estate values have shown minimal change, especially when compared to the approximately 5% yield offered by treasuries.
"commercial real estate has barely even budged given that treasuries are already yielding about 5%"
Dec 6, 2023
Pending
There is an anticipation that many companies will be unable to make their monthly payments when their corporate debt matures and requires refinancing.
"because they're anticipating that when that corporate debt matures and they'll have to refinance a l..."
Oct 23, 2023
Pending
Due to underutilization of office and commercial spaces, some companies may struggle to service and repay loans on these properties.
"all these office spaces and all these commercial buildings that are not in use as much so could they..."
Oct 23, 2023
Pending
If WeWork collapses, it could accelerate commercial real estate vacancies in major cities like New York and San Francisco, leading to a deeper economic problem.
"if wework were to collapse and stop its lease payments it could actually accelerate the commercial r..."
Aug 18, 2023
Pending
WeWork's collapse and cessation of lease payments could accelerate commercial real estate vacancies in major cities like New York and San Francisco, causing a deeper economic problem.
"if wework were to collapse and stop its lease payments it could actually accelerate the commercial r..."
Aug 18, 2023
Pending
A cascade of commercial real estate loan refinancings in the upcoming year (2024) could significantly harm the economy, potentially revealing more issues that arose from low interest rates.
"next year there's going to be a Cascade of refinancings that could really hurt the economy and maybe..."
Jul 28, 2023
Pending
Commercial real estate downturn will eventually impact the housing market.
"the commercial real estate space will eventually start to affect housing"
Jun 17, 2023
Pending
Warehouse, industrial, and retail spaces are experiencing low vacancy rates, and hotels are generating record revenue, indicating strong performance in these commercial real estate sectors.
"vacancy rates for warehouse and Industrial spaces low retail vacancy is only 5.7 percent and hotels ..."
May 19, 2023
Pending
A significant portion of office building loans are set to mature in the next year, and with substantially higher interest rates, ownership costs will increase, potentially leading to a commercial real estate crisis.
"CPC reports that 25 percent of all office building loans are coming due in the next year and with ra..."
May 19, 2023
Pending
A significant number of commercial mortgages are set to mature and require refinancing in the current and next year.
"this year and next there is a huge pipeline of commercial mortgages hitting maturity that need to be..."
Apr 14, 2023
Pending
A crisis in the commercial real estate market is anticipated.
"commercial real estate crisis could be looming"
Apr 14, 2023
Pending
Expectation to find a commercial real estate property within the next 12 months, with a patient approach.
"I'm just planning to be extremely patient here I'm not in any rush and hopefully I could find someth..."
Dec 28, 2022
Pending
Commercial real estate should be selling at a higher premium than current treasury rates (4-5%) due to associated risks.
"My rationale is that with treasury rates currently paying between four and five percent commercial r..."
Dec 28, 2022
Pending
Opportunity seen in commercial real estate, which has already declined 13% from its peak.
"I personally saw in commercial real estate especially during a time where they've already declined 1..."
Dec 28, 2022
Pending
The speaker is preparing to purchase commercial office or warehouse space when a good deal becomes available.
"I'm keeping some cash on the sidelines to buy a commercial office or warehouse space whenever a good..."
Dec 12, 2022
Pending
The speaker believes commercial real estate has not fully accounted for recent interest rate hikes, presenting a potential investment opportunity.
"I don't think the commercial real estate has yet fully priced in these rate hikes. And that is an op..."
Sep 23, 2022
Pending
Commercial real estate returns are expected to improve through price reductions.
"commercial real estate returns have to increase by lowering the purchase price."
Sep 23, 2022
Pending
For commercial real estate, lenders require a debt service coverage ratio of at least 1.25x, meaning for every $1,000 loan payment, the property must generate $1,250 in income.
"if it costs you a thousand a month they want to see you make at least 1 250 a month to stay complian..."
May 6, 2022
Pending